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I'm looking at the Rays record over the past decade and I'm a bit confused over your definition of "have not won much". However, my argument is simple - teams that don't invest in payroll don't win championships in baseball. Over the past 21 years (I was going to do 20, but added the extra to include Florida's win in 2003), the average payroll position relative to the league of the eventual WS champ was 9th (see below) Year WS Champ OD Payroll rank 2003 FLA 25 2004 BOS 2 2005 CWS 13 2006 STL 11 2007 BOS 2 2008 PHI 12 2009 NYY 1 2010 SF 10 2011 STL 11 2012 SF 8 2013 BOS 4 2014 SF 7 2015 KC 16 2016 CHC 14 2017 HOU 18 2018 BOS 1 2019 WAS 7 2020 LAD 2 2021 ATL 13 2022 HOU 11 2023 TEX 9 Only three of these teams had payrolls in the bottom half of league: Florida in 2003 had by far the lowest payroll, at 25th. Their payroll climbed to as high as 18th over the next couple of years, but they couldn't maintain their success and haven't made the playoffs since, outside of the COVID season. KC in 2015 had the 16th lowest payroll, barely below the median payroll for the year. They haven't been back to the playoffs since. Houston in 2017 had the 18th lowest payroll. This was their big breakthrough year after their tanking/rebuild, and they haven't been lower than 11th since, and as high as 4th. The trend is obvious. After the Marlins' miracle run in 2003, no team has won the WS with a payroll lower than 18th, and that team (Houston) is an obvious outlier as they were in the basically the same spot as the O's now (on the upswing from a full tear-down). While KC and Florida both had years where everything came together perfectly, they were unable to sustain their momentum. The O's were 23rd in payroll on Opening Day, and the current roster is good enough to win a championship, but history suggests they'll go the way of Florida and Kansas City if Rubenstein isn't willing to invest in the payroll. Consistently letting the talent drain out of your organization because you aren't willing to pay them won't lead to multiple championships and it won't keep fans engaged. -
By OriolesUpAndDowns · Posted
Correlation vs. Causation: The study states that there is a correlation between 1RM (one-rep max) squat and performance metrics like the 10-yard split and 40-yard dash times. However, correlation does not imply causation. Just because these variables are correlated does not mean that one causes the other. -
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His Dad is a big boy and obvious lifter. Some guys are naturally good squatters. That’s an impressive number for Holliday, but who knows exactly how legit the actual squat is. You can find high school kids at nearly every high school about his size with similar squat numbers. Granted, they will be some of the strongest pound for pound kids, but it’s not a crazy number. -
Fair point, but these outliers are squatting like 40% more than Holliday is. There are likely plenty of guys in the NCAA that can hit Holliday's numbers, and are in his age range. There were like 50+ guys at this year's combine with a 10 yard split of 1.5 or better or 40 times of 4.5 or better, and 1rm squat correlates with both 10 yard split and 40 time, such that if you hit those numbers in 10 or 40, then your mean 1rm squat would be predicted to be about 2.5x body weight, which would be right around 500 lbs for a 200 lb guy. If you want to call NFL caliber college guys outliers, I guess? But Holliday is an MLB caliber guy, so he still fits. Elite athletes just aren't normal, man. -
By Moose Milligan · Posted
The fact that they put this on the 1991 Donruss, perhaps the ultimate peak of the junk wax era, makes this even funnier to me. If toilet paper ever shot up in price I wouldn't care because I've got heaps of '91 Donruss floating around. This is very true, which makes me thinks he'll get claimed somewhere else. -
By Moose Milligan · Posted
It's like the ghost of Chris Davis found him and has taken over his body. I know bat speed isn't everything, but with the bat speed info that dropped, I took a look. His average is 70.9 which isn't terribly slow, it's actually pretty average. For whatever reason, he just can't square anything up. I hope he fixes it but it's really tough to watch right now.
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